Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.132436 0.155189 0.180246 0.209827 0.243731 0.281312 0.326058
2026-01-11 0.095897 0.126783 0.164539 0.213794 0.276023 0.351670 0.450186
2026-01-18 0.074990 0.108651 0.153157 0.215656 0.300384 0.410368 0.562886
2026-01-25 0.060717 0.095035 0.143480 0.215766 0.319540 0.461524 0.668462
2026-02-01 0.049688 0.083361 0.133754 0.213073 0.332761 0.504109 0.764669
2026-02-08 0.041147 0.073606 0.124852 0.209526 0.343143 0.542297 0.856693
2026-02-15 0.033569 0.063882 0.114260 0.201415 0.344852 0.566813 0.929544
2026-02-22 0.030873 0.061894 0.115706 0.212420 0.377184 0.640065 1.081877
2026-03-01 0.025969 0.055045 0.107833 0.206597 0.381039 0.668341 1.165362
2026-03-08 0.021704 0.048604 0.099670 0.199015 0.380700 0.689166 1.237687
2026-03-15 0.018546 0.043766 0.093707 0.194494 0.384894 0.717384 1.323796
2026-03-22 0.016728 0.041378 0.092071 0.197757 0.403203 0.770919 1.456557
2026-03-29 0.015414 0.039920 0.092196 0.204650 0.429320 0.840987 1.624805
2026-04-05 0.013994 0.037977 0.091074 0.208952 0.450990 0.904956 1.787409
2026-04-12 0.012556 0.035717 0.088928 0.210817 0.467939 0.961367 1.940151
2026-04-19 0.011181 0.033338 0.086153 0.210930 0.481210 1.011617 2.084673
2026-04-26 0.009810 0.030689 0.082357 0.208291 0.488424 1.050571 2.210310
2026-05-03 0.008575 0.028149 0.078427 0.204816 0.493408 1.085314 2.329959
2026-05-10 0.007277 0.025146 0.072892 0.196870 0.487793 1.098171 2.407242
2026-05-17 0.007028 0.025190 0.075090 0.207652 0.524713 1.200529 2.669932
2026-05-24 0.006080 0.022881 0.070787 0.201947 0.523632 1.223642 2.773100
2026-05-31 0.005193 0.020554 0.066054 0.194520 0.517731 1.235913 2.854444
2026-06-07 0.004530 0.018809 0.062658 0.190091 0.518430 1.262320 2.966956